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2024-12-14 10:26:17

According to CITIC Securities, it is necessary for deficit ratio to rise to nearly 4%, and mortgage interest rates is expected to fall further. According to Yicai, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. Regarding what it means to change the tone of fiscal policy from "positive" to "more positive", the chief economist of CITIC Securities clearly said that I think it means that the whole fiscal policy will be further expanded next year. First of all, from the perspective of deficit ratio, our deficit ratio is 3% this year and 3% at the beginning of last year. However, we had a special budget adjustment at the end of last year, so the deficit ratio from the end of last year to the end of last year was actually 3.8%. Looking forward to next year, we think that the ratio that may be close to 4% should be the effect that everyone expects to achieve at present. In terms of monetary policy, we can see a series of monetary policies, including further relaxing some restrictions on purchase restriction and loan restriction, including the down payment ratio, and a particularly important one is to reduce the mortgage interest rates. I think these monetary policies will be further promoted in the future, and even further declined in mortgage interest rates, for example.India's NIFTY index metal plate fell by 1.3%.CCCC Real Estate: The loan of more than 15 billion yuan from the controlling shareholder will expire next year, and will be renewed for one year after negotiation. On December 12th, CCCC Real Estate (000736.SZ) announced that the principal balance of the loan of the company and its holding subsidiaries from the controlling shareholder CCCC Real Estate Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "real estate group") is 15.091 billion yuan, and the annual interest rate is 7%. The above loan will be in 2020. According to CCCC Real Estate, according to the actual operation of the company, after consultation with the real estate group, the company plans to extend the above-mentioned loan of 15.091 billion yuan for one year from the maturity date, with the annual interest rate not exceeding 7%.


India's NIFTY index metal plate fell by 1.3%.Afternoon comment: index adjustment The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.49% in half a day. Bean bag concept stocks were strong in early trading, and the index was collectively adjusted in early trading. The three major stock indexes all fell by more than 1%. In terms of sectors, the concept stocks of bean bags were strong in early trading, and the collective daily limit of three-dimensional communication, Beiwei Technology, Global Printing, and Zhewen Internet; The concept of ice and snow industry continued its upward trend. Jingxue energy-saving 20cm daily limit, iceberg cold and hot, snowman shares and other daily limit closures; The game e-sports sector is active, and the daily limit of Zhewen Internet and Electric Soul Network is up; Real estate stocks continued to adjust, and Hefei Urban Construction and Gorgeous Family were among the top losers. Food, liquor and other consumer sectors fell into a callback, and Yiming food fell to a limit; Insurance stocks weakened collectively, led by China Life Insurance. Overall, individual stocks showed a general decline trend, with more than 4,100 stocks falling. On the disk, the Aauto Quicker concept, short play games and cultural media sectors were among the top gainers, while the insurance, liquor and real estate sectors were among the top losers.Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.


About 300 people have been killed in the attack on civilians by Haitian gangs. On December 12, local time, it was learned that the attack on civilians by Haitian gangs continued. As of December 11, the number of victims has reached nearly 300, and nearly 60 people have been kidnapped. (CCTV News)Youhao Group established a new company of commodity purchasing center. According to the enterprise search APP, Shihezi Youhao Commodity Purchasing Center Co., Ltd. was recently established, with the legal representative of Yang Weihong and the registered capital of 5 million yuan. Its business scope includes: publication retail; Drug retail; Liquor business; Internet sales of food; The third kind of medical device management, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Friendship Group.Wanwuyun: Signing a new framework agreement with Vanke, with the term ending at the end of 2027. On December 13th, Wanwu cloud hosting Science and Technology Service Co., Ltd. (02602.HK) issued an announcement. In view of the fact that the existing framework agreement will expire on December 31st, 2024 and the company intends to continue to sign similar transactions thereafter, the board of directors announced that Wanwuyun signed a new framework agreement with Vanke on December 12th, 2024, including a framework agreement on the use and maintenance of new technology systems. New property leasing Framework Agreement; New AIoT and BPaaS solution service framework agreement; New property service framework agreement; New value-added service framework agreement; And the new property agency service framework agreement, valid from January 1, 2025 to December 31, 2027. As of the date of announcement, Vanke Company accounts for 56.84% of the issued share capital of Wanwuyun and is the controlling shareholder. At the same time, the announcement shows that the extraordinary general meeting of shareholders will be held on December 31, 2024 to review and approve related transactions and annual caps. In addition, Wanwuyun announced that its registered address in China has been changed to Room 2201, Building B, Chuangzhiyun Center, No.1 Guangsha Road, Futian District, Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province.

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